Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003844 0.004035 0.004230 0.004445 0.004676 0.004916 0.005184
2025-01-26 0.003517 0.003805 0.004113 0.004466 0.004863 0.005296 0.005807
2025-02-02 0.003382 0.003737 0.004126 0.004588 0.005123 0.005729 0.006472
2025-02-09 0.003180 0.003568 0.004003 0.004532 0.005161 0.005893 0.006818
2025-02-16 0.003041 0.003458 0.003934 0.004524 0.005243 0.006100 0.007215
2025-02-23 0.002912 0.003349 0.003856 0.004496 0.005291 0.006261 0.007554
2025-03-02 0.002839 0.003300 0.003844 0.004543 0.005429 0.006532 0.008042
2025-03-09 0.002733 0.003205 0.003771 0.004507 0.005456 0.006661 0.008346
2025-03-16 0.002635 0.003116 0.003698 0.004466 0.005472 0.006771 0.008627
2025-03-23 0.002530 0.003013 0.003604 0.004392 0.005439 0.006812 0.008811
2025-03-30 0.002437 0.002921 0.003519 0.004326 0.005410 0.006854 0.008994
2025-04-06 0.002383 0.002877 0.003493 0.004334 0.005480 0.007033 0.009378
2025-04-13 0.002263 0.002746 0.003352 0.004187 0.005336 0.006910 0.009324
2025-04-20 0.002219 0.002712 0.003336 0.004206 0.005421 0.007115 0.009767
2025-04-27 0.002215 0.002729 0.003387 0.004318 0.005639 0.007518 0.010535
2025-05-04 0.002148 0.002660 0.003323 0.004267 0.005622 0.007576 0.010769
2025-05-11 0.002102 0.002618 0.003291 0.004259 0.005668 0.007727 0.011157
2025-05-18 0.002052 0.002568 0.003247 0.004233 0.005683 0.007833 0.011476
2025-05-25 0.002029 0.002555 0.003253 0.004277 0.005802 0.008101 0.012081
2025-06-01 0.001980 0.002505 0.003206 0.004243 0.005804 0.008186 0.012379
2025-06-08 0.001933 0.002456 0.003158 0.004206 0.005798 0.008257 0.012654
2025-06-15 0.001877 0.002394 0.003091 0.004138 0.005741 0.008243 0.012779
2025-06-22 0.001826 0.002337 0.003030 0.004077 0.005692 0.008239 0.012918